Thanks to abundant supply and fairly flat demand, oil prices are forecast to fall — unless tariffs and geopolitics get in the way.

Over the weekend, President Trump announced he’d be moving forward with tariffs starting tomorrow. Then, Mexico and the U.S. struck a deal to delay those tariffs for one month as the two negotiate border security.

Prices could rise for certain goods, and the economy could tip into recession.

Companies’ efforts to get ahead of possible U.S. tariffs on metals is causing a shortage of the valuable element in the United Kingdom.

Even cars assembled in the U.S. often include parts from Mexico and Canada, on whose goods President Trump has promised to impose 25% tariffs.

Trump promised tariffs on Day One. None have been announced so far.

China has had years to figure out how to best respond to U.S. tariffs. That means it’s developed plenty of strategies to respond to any new tariffs during Trump’s second term.

Ian Bremmer of the Eurasia Group says a volatile Mideast, Russian disruption and a strained U.S.-China relationship could all prove harmful.

This month, a new megaport will allow trade between South America and Asia to bypass North America entirely.

Roughly 70% of California’s almond harvest is shipped overseas. Now, almond growers there are worried about becoming collateral damage in a trade war escalation under Trump’s second term.