The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index was down by 0.3% in February — the third consecutive monthly decline.

There’s a lot of nuance in interpreting the data and different ways to measure it.

M1 and M2 figure into consumption and inflation and can be used as a policy lever by the Federal Reserve.

Income growth is continuing to propel the U.S. economy. But whether consumers keep spending into next year could depend on where they are on the income scale.

The increasingly dynamic nature of the American economy since the COVID-19 pandemic has wrought deep changes.

The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index turned positive in February for the first time since February 2022. That’s a sign that the economy will avoid a recession this year, even if it slows down.

Some question the predictive powers of the The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index, a past predictor of recessions.

The level of corporate earnings manipulation is similar to that of other pre-recessionary periods, according to the M-Score.

The manufacturing sector is shrinking, according to a report. But that doesn’t account for people’s spending or the tight labor market.

Movements in money supply matter, but not as much as they used to.